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Bootstrap-based tolerance intervals for photovoltaic energy yield assessments

Titre : Bootstrap-based tolerance intervals for photovoltaic energy yield assessments

Auteur : Deyzel, Jani Igna

Université de soutenance : Nelson Mandela University

Grade : Magister Scientiae Mathematical Statistics 2019

Résumé
The assessment of the energy yield of a photovoltaic (PV) system is one of the key assessments required by investors and developers. Currently, available methods used for this assessment only provide a point estimate as the final assessment. This study proposes a statistical technique which provides an additional energy yield assessment method by using tolerance intervals. Variance component models are used to better account for the variability present in the daily and hourly energy yields of three different PV modules. A bootstrap-based technique is used to obtain expectation and two-sided tolerance intervals. These tolerance intervals provided more information with a content and confidence level for seasonal and yearly time-periods. In addition, the comparisons of the PV modules provide valuable information to investors and developers.

Présentation et version intégrale

Page publiée le 18 janvier 2021