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Doctorat
Inde
2019
Modeling the influence of Atmospheric Aerosols on Crop Production in Indo Gangetic Basin
Titre : Modeling the influence of Atmospheric Aerosols on Crop Production in Indo Gangetic Basin
Auteur : Sonkar, Geetika
Université de soutenance : Banaras Hindu University
Grade : Doctor of Philosophy (PhD) 2019
Résumé
ABSTRACT
In an era of growing population, the importance of agricultural production cannot be
underestimated. The rapid urbanization and economic development are constraints to
expanding the area for agricultural production to meet the increasing demand.
Increasing food demand and expected decline in production due to climate change is
the major issue to tackle among the scientific community. Increasing atmospheric
pollution on the other hand exacerbate the existing burden on food security. There are
several studies showing that climate have an important role in growth and
development of the crops. Any change in the climatic parameters can have a negative
influence on crop productivity. Therefore, it is important to understand and
substantiate the impact of changing climate and increasing pollution on crop yield.
There are some global efforts on quantifying the effects of elevated temperature, trace
gases and aerosols on crop production, while such projections are exceedingly rare
over India. The aerosols are suspended in the atmosphere, alters the amount of solar
radiation reaching the earth’s surface i.e. they reduce the total irradiance and increase
the fraction of radiation which is diffuse. This might affect the growth and
development of the crop.
In, the view of above the present study has been performed to examine the role of air
pollution on the agricultural crops over Indo-Gangetic Basin. Following objectives
were formulated (1) to evaluate the CERES-Wheat and CERES-Rice crop model for
the Indo-Gangetic Basin, (2) to quantify the radiative influence of atmospheric
aerosols on what and rice crops, (3) to simulate the potential and attainable yield of
wheat and rice yields under different atmospheric aerosol conditions.
To fulfill the objectives, the present study was performed over the of Indo-Gangetic
Basin which is agriculturally fertile and highly aerosol loaded region in India. To
analyze the impact of aerosols on wheat and rice crop production, the statistical and
dynamical modeling approaches were applied. For the statistical approach, linear
regression model was used whereas, for the dynamic modeling approach, the DSSAT
Crop simulation model and Tropospheric Ultraviolet Radiation Model was used.
The CERES-Wheat and CERES-Rice models were calibrated and validated for the
estimation of genetic coefficients for the wheat and rice crop varieties. These
coefficients performed well under all the conditions for several locations of the IGB.
This model was further used to study the influence of aerosols on crop production
under various atmospheric conditions.
Page publiée le 14 février 2021