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sur le développement des zones arides et semi-arides

Titre : Possible changes in some climate parameters and climate types in Konya depending on global warming

Küresel ısınmaya bağlı olarak Konya’da bazı iklim parametreleri ve iklim tiplerinde meydana gelebilecek olası değişiklikler

Auteur : AKTAŞ BARIŞ

Université de soutenance : Kastamonu Üniversitesi

Grade : Master of Science (Msc) 2020

Résumé
It is claimed that the world is facing two inevitable problems that are irreversible, and the first of these problems is climate change caused by human activities. Climate change is an event that has significant, direct or indirect effects on forests, vegetation, agriculture, sea level, clean water resources, energy, biodiversity, human health, in short, on the whole ecosystem and almost all living things. It is stated that climate change will further increase its effect in the coming years and that changes in climate will affect almost all ecosystems in one way or another. The effect may be destructive in some areas. It is only possible by predicting these changes and taking measures for this to change. Therefore, as in many countries, there have been attempts to calculate and determine the effects of climate change in Turkey. In this study, the possible effects of climate change in Konya, one of the important agricultural cities of our country, are evaluated. In this scope of work some climate parameters throughout the province are examined and depending on these climate parameters, climate types are determined ; It has been tried to determine how the mentioned climate parameters and climate types can change in the period up to 2050 (2041-2060) and 2070 (2061-2080) within the scope of RCP45 and RCP85 scenarios. In determining the climate types De Martonne, Erinç and Emberger climate indices were used. The study results show that climate change will have significant impacts throughout the province. According to the scenarios used, there will be a significant increase in temperature values ; It is predicted that the amount of precipitation will decrease significantly. Depending on the changes in climate parameters ; It is expected that drought will reach serious levels throughout the province and even desert areas that do not exist today will occur.

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