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El Colegio de la Frontera Norte (COLEF) 2008

Análisis y simulación del crecimiento urbano utilizando sistemas de información geográficos : Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua

Márquez Lobato, Bogart Yahil

Titre : Análisis y simulación del crecimiento urbano utilizando sistemas de información geográficos : Ciudad Juárez, Chihuahua

Auteur : Márquez Lobato, Bogart Yahil

Université de soutenance : El Colegio de la Frontera Norte (COLEF)

Grade : Maestría en Economía Aplicada 2008

Résumé
In recent decades the northern border of Mexico has witnessed an unprecedented growth in their populations with patterns of occupation of the territory where the efficiency in land use has not been actively promoted, leaving behind stains urban cities with very fragmented extensive and relatively low population densities. In addition to natural population growth, the combination of various factors including migration, the process of industrialization, employment generation, demand for public services and urban incomes generated, have pressed urban growth. Taking as a case study in Ciudad Juarez, Chihuahua was generated a model of cellular automaton that considering the historical trends of growth generates a prediction of demand of urban land in future, the study concludes on growth rate, the magnitude and direction predominant the same. The model generated also allows the evaluation of alternative scenarios, including that considers the results of the draft ” Zonificación y Ordenamiento Ecológico y Territorial del municipio de Juárez” and instruments to control the growth of development plans, which are scenarios of growth more controlled and targeted to areas with better skills and therefore undoubtedly constitutes a powerful tool for planning.

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Page publiée le 30 mai 2015, mise à jour le 9 août 2017