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UKAID Department for International Development (R4D) 20132013

The geography of poverty, disasters and climate extremes in 2030


UKAID Department for International Development (R4D)

Titre : The geography of poverty, disasters and climate extremes in 2030

Projet de recherche pour le Développement

DFID Programme : Disaster Resilience Catalytic Fund - Evidence and Innovation in Disaster Resilience Programming

Organismes de mise en œuvre
Lead Institutes : Overseas Development Institute (ODI)
Collaborating Institutes : Department for International Development (DFID) ; Meteorological Office, UK ; Risk Management Solutions (RMS)

Durée : 20-06-2013 à 25-10-2013

Its key findings are :
* Extreme weather linked to climate change is increasing and will likely cause more disasters. Such disasters, especially those linked to drought, can be the most important cause of impoverishment, cancelling progress on poverty reduction
* Up to 325 million extremely poor people will be living in the 49 most hazard-prone countries in 2030, the majority in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa
* The 11 countries most at risk of disaster-induced poverty are Bangladesh, Democratic Republic of the Congo, Ethiopia, Kenya, Madagascar, Nepal, Nigeria, Pakistan, South Sudan, Sudan and Uganda
* Disaster risk management should be a key component of poverty reduction efforts, focusing on protecting livelihoods as well as saving lives. There is a need to identify and then act where the poor and disaster risks are most concentrated
* The post-2015 development goals must include targets on disasters and climate change, recognising the threat they pose to the headline goal of eradicating extreme poverty by 2030.

This report examines the relationship between disasters and poverty. It maps out where the poorest people are likely to live in 2030 and develops a range of scenarios to identify potential patterns of vulnerability to extreme weather and earthquakes. Specifically the report addresses the following questions : •What is the geography of poverty in 2030 and how does it correlate with the geography of disaster risk ? •What are the likely changes in other risk factors (e.g. conflict, food price shocks) and governance capacity ? •What implications does this have for policy making, both nationally and internationally ?

Total Cost to DFID : £73,007

Présentation : UKAID

Page publiée le 5 septembre 2015, mise à jour le 19 décembre 2018