Informations et ressources scientifiques
sur le développement des zones arides et semi-arides

Accueil du site → Nouvelles publications → 2012 → Model Evaluation for Seasonal Forecasting over Southern Africa

LAP Lambert Academic Publishing (2012)

Model Evaluation for Seasonal Forecasting over Southern Africa

Nana Ama Kum Browne ; Babatunde Joseph Abiodun ; Bruce Hewitson

Model Evaluation for Seasonal Forecasting over Southern Africa

Auteurs  : Nana Ama Kum Browne ; Babatunde Joseph Abiodun ; Bruce Hewitson
Publisher  : LAP Lambert Academic Publishing
Date de parution : 2012-02-16
Pages : 124

Présentation

This study contributes to a broader effort of institutions toward improving seasonal forecasts over southern Africa. The primary objective is to understand where global models show shortcomings in their simulations, and how this impacts on their seasonal forecast skill. It is proposed that the skill of a model in simulating natural climate variability is an appropriate metric for a model’s potential skill in seasonal forecasting. Thus the study investigates the performance of two global models in simulating the regional processes in relation to the processes variability, and how this is related to their forecast skill. The study significantly provides more insight into models ability to simulate the general circulation features that modulate rainfall and temperature, and the relationship of rainfall with global SST. This study therefore provides useful information for modellers, forecasters, and climate researchers on the global models used in the study.

Annonce de l’ouvrage et achat (€ 59,00 en 2016)

Page publiée le 12 juin 2016