Informations et ressources scientifiques
sur le développement des zones arides et semi-arides

Titre : Effects of food imports including food aid on Kenya’s agricultural production

Auteur : Musembi, Francis John

Université de soutenance : University of Guelph

Grade : Master of Science (MS) 1994

Résumé
The effects of commercial wheat imports and aid on domestic wheat production, in Kenya were investigated. The Kenyan government agricultural policy is to be self sufficient in food production and produce surplus for export. The country is currently not self sufficient in production of some major food commodities one of which is wheat. The direct impact of wheat imports and aid on achieving this goal were investigated. Domestic supply, consumer income, consumer demand and commercial wheat imports functions were specified and estimated for the period 1970 to 1989 using Ordinary Least Squares (OLS). The estimated equations were combined to form a multi-equation model for the Kenyan wheat sector. The multi-equation model was then used to establish the effects of wheat imports and aid on domestic wheat production and to predict possible options for reducing wheat imports. Domestic wheat production was found to substitute for commercial wheat imports by more than unity. It was also established that wheat aids does not substitute for commercial wheat imports. Domestic wheat production was found to be very responsive to producer price changes. The best option established by the study, for reducing commercial wheat imports was through increased domestic supply.

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